Review of chemical industry trend in the first half of 2013

At the beginning of this year, the domestic market dem decreased significantly, various potential contradictions in the industry intensified, market turbulence intensified.

According to the data, from January to February, China's apparent oil consumption suddenly dropped from 5% last year to a negative growth (- 0.

3%), there was basically no buffer transition time.

This kind of situation only occurred when the financial crisis broke out in early 2009.

The difference is that although the decline was larger at that time, it began to rise.

However, in the first half of this year, the situation continued to be weak, it still has no trend Strong signs.

The same is true of the dem for major chemicals.

At the beginning of the year, the total apparent consumption of major chemicals increased by only 2.

5%, a sharp drop of more than 4 percentage points compared with the previous year.

Although it has rebounded since then, it has been at a low historical level.

Due to the weak growth of market dem, the contradiction of overcapacity is more prominent, leading to a long-term slump in the prices of bulk products.

It is worth noting that many of our enterprises lack of psychological preparation for the sudden change of the market inadequate response measures.

It is unrealistic to expect the state to adopt a large-scale stimulus policy to help enterprises out of difficulties.

For the change of macro dem, enterprises should have long-term ideological preparation, adjust their own structure as soon as possible, strive for the initiative of market competition avoid passivity.

At present, the structure of market dem is changing.

Various signs show that the market capacity of bulk chemical products, such as soda ash, caustic soda general synthetic resin, has become relatively stable, the expansion is becoming more more difficult, while specialized chemicals, new chemical materials, fine chemicals other small high-quality products are becoming the main force of market dem growth.

New market consumption hotspots are forming, new industries such as new materials, new energy, energy conservation environmental protection will become the main direction to lead the future market dem.

Therefore, in a sense, the current macro dem is slowing down, which is striving for time space for us to seize the opportunity in the future market competition.

Since this year, the world economy has continued to recover slowly.

In the second half of the year, the process of world economic recovery may be accelerated.

At present, the economy of Japan has been relatively active, but the economic growth of the United States will continue to slow down.

although the economy of Japan has been relatively active, the economy of Germany will continue to grow at a relatively fast pace.

although the economy of Japan is still growing at a relatively fast pace, the economy of Germany will continue to improve.

In short, the foreign dem market in the second half of the year will be slightly better than that in the first half of the year.

It is estimated that the total export volume of the petroleum chemical industry will be about 185 billion US dollars, with an increase of about 4.5%. Among them, the export growth rate in the second half of the year is about 6.

5%, which is estimated to be higher than that in the first half (2.4%). This year, in a very complex economic environment, the central government's macro-control policies have become more stable mature.

Both fiscal policy, financial policy industrial policy have aboned the orientation of pursuing GDP only, have focused on structural adjustment transformation of development mode.

Under the situation of domestic overcapacity contradiction, the central government has not put the focus of economic growth on investment, but on accelerating consumption development, thus forming an inverted mechanism to accelerate structural adjustment improve the quality of economic growth.

On the prevention of financial liquidity government debt risk, the state has also taken a series of effective measures.

On July 5, the general office of the State Council promulgated the "ten national articles" to further clarify improve the policies measures of financial support for economic restructuring, transformation upgrading, the financial service to the real economy will be further strengthened.

In addition, the gradual implementation of the oil upgrading upgrading policy, the gradual implementation of the natural gas price adjustment policy, the improvement of the fertilizer export policy will have a positive impact change on the economic operation of the industry in the second half of the year.

Domestic dem is the main driving force of China's economic growth, the domestic macro dem will maintain a certain growth rate in the second half of the year, which will continue to form a strong support for the stable economic operation of the petroleum chemical industry in the second half of the year.

However, we should also see that the operation space of macroeconomic dependence on policy stimulus direct investment is limited, the state will not issue obvious stimulus policies in the short term.

At the same time, it is difficult for China's foreign dem market to fundamentally improve in the second half of the year.

Due to the slow growth of investment overcapacity in the chemical industry, it will take time for structural adjustment, transformation upgrading, the economic growth of the industry is still faced with many uncertain unstable factors.

TRUNNANO (aka. Luoyang Tongrun Nano Technology Co. Ltd.) is a trusted global chemical material supplier & manufacturer with over 12 years' experience in providing super high-quality chemicals and Nanomaterials. The nitride powder produced by our company has high purity, fine particle size and impurity content. Please contact us if necessary. (aka. Luoyang Tongrun Nano Technology Co. Ltd.) is a trusted global chemical material supplier & manufacturer with over 12 years' experience in providing super high-quality chemicals Nanomaterials. The nitride powder produced by our company has high purity, fine particle size impurity content. Please contact us if necessary.
TRUNNANO (aka. Luoyang Tongrun Nano Technology Co. Ltd.) is a trusted global chemical material supplier & manufacturer with over 12 years' experience in providing super high-quality chemicals and Nanomaterials. The nitride powder produced by our company has high purity, fine particle size and impurity content. Please contact us if necessary.